U.S. new home sales at 6-year high but recovery still fragile

By The Folks @PropTalk - October 25, 2014 No Comments

Sales of new U.S. single-family homes rose to a six-year high in September, but a sharp downward revision to August's sales pace indicated the housing recovery remains tentative.

According to the Commerce Department, sales increased 0.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 467,000 units - the highest reading since July 2008. August's sales rate was revised down to 466,000 units from 504,000 units.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast new home sales at a 470,000-unit pace last month.

"We expect the housing market recovery to remain relatively gradual over the coming months," said Gennadiy Goldberg, an economist at TD Securities in New York.

New home sales, which account for about 8% of the housing market, tend to be volatile month to month and large revisions are not unusual. Compared to September last year, sales were up 17%.

Housing is slowly regaining its footing after activity stalled in the second half of 2013 as mortgage rates soared. With the 30-year fixed mortgage rate falling this week to its lowest level since June of last year, sales could pick up.

Mortgage rates have declined in tandem with a sharp fall in U.S. Treasury debt yields as slowing global growth and a sharp sell-off in international stock markets prompted traders to push back expectations for an interest rate increase by the Federal Reserve.

Slow wage growth, however, remains a constraint for an acceleration in home sales. Data this week showed sales of previously-owned homes touched a one-year high in September.

Last month, new home sales fell 8.9% in the West, handing back some of August's 28.1% surge. In the populous South, sales rose 2.0%, while they increased 12.3% in the Midwest. Sales were flat in the Northeast.

With sales rising modestly, the stock of new houses available on the market rose 1.5% to the highest level since July 2010. Builders have been ramping up construction and the improvement in inventory should provide buyers with more choices and temper house price increases.

At September's sales pace it would take 5.3 months to clear the supply of houses on the market, unchanged from August. Six months' supply is normally considered a healthy balance between supply and demand.

The median new home price fell 4.0% to $259,000 from a year ago. 

Source: Reuters 

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